Where Will Threatened Aegle marmelos L., a Tree of the Semi-Arid Region, Go under Climate Change? Implications for the Reintroduction of the Species

The conservation of threatened species and the restoration ecosystems have emerged as crucial ecological prerequisites in context a changing global environment. One such significant commercial value is Bael tree, scientifically known Aegle marmelos, which native to semi-arid regions Pakistan. However, faces threats Pakistan due overexploitation land use. To support sustainable production practices agricultural planning, it important investigate how climate change has affected geographic distribution marmelos. Additionally, impact on its frequency remains uncertain. address these concerns, we employed modeling techniques using MaxEnt GIS predict present future favorable habitats for Based our findings, several key bioclimatic variables were identified influencers marmelos distribution. These include soil bulk density (bdod), isothermality (bio03), precipitation during warmest quarter (bio18), mean temperature wettest (bio08). Currently, potential suitable habitat spans an area approximately 396,869 square kilometers, primarily concentrated Punjab, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Balochistan deemed highly are predominantly found upper central Punjab. if persists, likely become more fragmented, resulting shift overall area. Moreover, center expected relocate towards southeast, leading increased spatial separation over time. results this research significantly contribute understanding geo-ecological aspects related Furthermore, they provide valuable recommendations protection, management, monitoring, species.